» Thu Sep 08, 2016 8:08 am
In the council of Elrond, Glóin tells about a messenger of Mordor that came to the Lonely Mountain and spoke with Dáin. The messenger told him that Sauron offers the dwarves a deal in which he would give them rings, in exchange of information about hobbits, in order to get to Bilbo and the One Ring. Following Glóin's description of the meeting, it seems that an open and common suspicion lay between the two. I can't see a reason for Sauron to believe that the dwarves would actually accept the terms of his offer and extradite Bilbo naively. Then Glóin says that he has been sent to warn Bilbo in the house of Elrond. And at that point, I think that Sauron has done a huge mistake, by not sending a spy alongside Glóin, whom heading to Bilbo. Of course, it doesn't have to be a visible one: Sauron has plenty of spy animals, according to Gandalf's words in the same chapter. It is unlikely to Sauron, the master of tricks, to miss such an opportunity. What do you think?